Wednesday, April 4, 2012

MLB 2012

 STICKING TO IT: David Ortiz checks...

And so it begins...the 2012 Major League Baseball season has officially begun.  The St. Louis Cardinals beat the Miami Marlins to open the season with a 4-1 victory in Miami.  I don't think it is exactly how the million dollar Marlins wanted to start the new season in their new stadium with their new high-money lineup!  And tomorrow the Red Sox start their season in Detroit against the Tigers.

John Lester takes on reigning MVP/Cy Young award winner Justin Verlander in the Tiger's home opener at 1:00 ET, unfortunately 10:00AM here.  The Tigers are boasting a pretty good lineup this year with the addition of Prince Fielder and should be a decent threat for most throughout the year.  As some of you may remember the Red Sox are coming off a horrible season that was capped off by a horrendous collapse.  And I'm sure we will always blame the beer and chicken wings but they just sucked.  Watching Papelbon blow the save in the 9th against the crappy Baltimore Orioles was something I'd like to forget but unfortunately know I'll always sadly remember.

With that disappointing end to the 2011 season constantly on my mind it has been extremely hard to get excited for this upcoming season.  What has recently sparked my interest is knowing that nobody expects them to do well.  It's the fact that out of 50 ESPN baseball sportswriters only one of them picked the Red Sox to win it all; most not even picking them to make the playoffs!  This is exactly what they need.  They need the media and the public to doubt that they cannot win, that they don't have the pitching, they don't have the defense, they have a narcissistic coach and blah, blah, blah...

9. The Red Sox will win 93 games. As I wrote last week, the Red Sox are somewhat reminiscent of their 2002 club . Like their counterparts of a decade ago, these Sox have a roster top-heavy with elite talent, but there are depth questions at the end of the rotation and in the bullpen. The '02 Sox won 93 games and missed the playoffs. The first edition of Bobby Valentine's tenure as manager will win 93 games -- and make the postseason, thanks to the second wild card.

No we do not have a proven closer (thank you Andrew Bailey), or a shortstop, 4-5 pitching rotation questions, and outside of Ellsbury a questionable outfield (at the moment).  But we do have an incredible offense and our defense really isn't going to be THAT bad.  Ellsbury, Pedroia, Papi, Gonzalez, Youk, Crawford (out till May)/Ross, Salty, Sweeney, Aviles...I can deal with that lineup.  And when Crawford comes back he will hopefully be back to the old Crawford of old.

1. Adrian Gonzalez will contend for the triple crown. In the first half of his first season with the Red Sox, the sweet-swinging first baseman hit .354 with 17 home runs and 77 RBIs in 89 games. Then came the All-Star break and the decision to compete in the Home Run Derby, which apparently affected his swing. Gonzalez was further affected by a nagging shoulder injury, yet he still finished with a .338 average, 27 homers, and 117 RBIs. He says his shoulder feels healthy for the first time in two years. Even with Albert Pujols and Prince Fielder now in the AL, he could be the league's dominant offensive force.

It's a new era in Red Sox history.  It's one without a 2-time World Series Champion manager or a GM that made a bold decision in late-July of 2004 to trade the most popular player on the team in order to reverse the curse.  There's no captain behind the plate or knuckleballer on the mound.  It's a whole new vibe in Boston and one that wreaks of pre-2004 where you weren't sure what was going to happen but you were absolutely certain you'd be extremely disappointed by the time October came around.

6. David Ortiz and Kevin Youkilis will combine for fewer than 50 homers. In 2009, Ortiz and Youkilis had 55 homers between them. Two years ago, 51. Last year? 46. Notice a trend? Ortiz has held up his end of the bargain, hitting 32 in 2010 and 29 last year, but Youkilis's durability issues have resulted in a power reduction -- he hit 19 homers two years ago, and 17 last year. Even if Youkilis does stay healthy this year and return to the 25-homer range, it's not a guarantee that Ortiz, who turns 37 in November, will continue to hover around the 30-homer mark. Let's put 'em down for 46 again.

I obviously do not wish for this to happen and I expect the Red Sox to be playing in October this year; whether it's from one of the two wild cards or by taking the division I'm sure they'll be there.  And once they're in it's on like Donkey Kong!  So cross your fingers, start saying your prayers, and have faith in Red Sox Nation that this is our year!!!

Go Sox!

(All pictures used here were courtesy of boston.com) http://www.boston.com/sports/baseball/redsox/gallery/2012/predictions?pg=10

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